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20120901
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Search Results 0 to 15 of about 16 (some duplicates have been removed)
morris joins us. dick who did the better job? >> do i get to see either? there is clinton's speech like a really good lawyer defending a guilty client. you could look at moves and celebrate them. and at the same time, not be convinced. and that is a phrase of his are we better off is going to haunt the democrats because by 2-1, people believe we're not. anyone thinks we are is nuts. and in the opinion of most americans. and that is i think going to hurt badly. i think for obama's speech is that he's used to giving good speeches. i thought 10 minutes were uplifting and very good. the core was making clearer than he's made before, that he's a liberal and a big government, big spending liberal. and this country isn't liberal. two things with not done. they did not destroy mitt romney. it was very little time spent in prime time on attacking romney. there was a bane capitol story buzz those weren't in prime time and from 20 years ago. and there are attacks on republican party. and not on mitt romney. secondly there is no real portrayal of the substantive record. you look and say he saved gm
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
the trend. dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in my own poling is that romney was doing
, bill and hillary clinton brought in dick morris and they said, you know, if we don't learn something from this experience we will be beat in '96 and i thought that parts of the clinton speech were eerily anti-obama. and he said, i worked with welfare because i worked with the republicans, but you you didn't president obama. i had the longest growth in history, and you didn't, mr. obama. and i have the -- and you can take the speech and spin it not much and it is a condemnation of the fact that obama learned nothing. bob woodward's new book indicates that he learned nothing out of the 2010 election. >> can bill clinton move votes for president obama? >> well, he can temporarily move votes. i would say that the bounce that obama is getting ow of the convention is 80% bill clinton. he is a popular feigure for a practical reason, the economy worked. people had jobs. we reduced children in poverty by 25% through the welfare reform and balanced the budget for four years and you look back and say, i think that what it does is to shrink obama, and then you have this guy and this guy who is a
that bad atomic stuff before you know it examine blow them up. let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the whole development of the last 24 hours are really calling into question obama's foreign policy credentials and his supposed advantage in that field. don't forget that this libya attack comes at a country with the united states basically underwrote their whole revolution, put our own people at risk, flying strikes in the no-fly zone. this is a uprising the u.s. backed and supported. so this is a tremendous, tremendous reversal and a black eye for obama and his foreign policy. on the netanyahu front, it was incredible that hillary clinton said ye
Search Results 0 to 15 of about 16 (some duplicates have been removed)